General Manager Theo Epstein signed highly coveted free agent Carl Crawford to a 7 Year, $142M contract. Crawford finished the 2010 season with 184 hits, 19 HR, 110 runs, 90 RBI’s and 47 stolen bases. Epstein also traded prospects RHP Casey Kelly, 1B Anthony Rizzo and OF Reymond Fuentes for slugger Adrian Gonzales, who would sign a contract extension for 7 years, $154M.
By utilizing WAR statistical analysis, the acquisitions of these two players should have taken an 89 win Red Sox squad to a 96 win team.
- In 2010, Carl Crawford generated a 7.6 WAR (which ranked second among MLB) vs. the combination of Jeremy Hermida and Mike Cameron who each had a WAR of 0
- Adrian Gonzales 5.2 WAR vs. Kevin Youkilis 4.1 WAR
- Kevin Youkilis 4.1 WAR vs. Adrian Beltre 7.0 WAR
- The difference in wins above replacement player accounted for an estimated +7.8 wins in 2011
The Boston Red Sox entered September with a 9 game lead for the American League wild card and were poised for the playoffs. Instead, the team experienced one of the worst collapses in MLB history, finishing the month with a 7-20 record (90-72 overall), missing the playoffs by 1 game.